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Predict a Future

Will SpaceX land a Starship on the Moon before December 31, 2028?

Science
50.0% yes

Yes if SpaceX successfully lands a Starship vehicle on the lunar surface before December 31, 2028. No if no such landing occurs by that date.

Open. Closes Dec 31, 2028 05:59 PM CT. Source: SpaceX official announcement.

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AddBack if yesBack if no
25about 29about 29
100about 98about 98
250about 233about 233

"About" leaves out a token of rounding dust. The game fee is one tenth of the final pool, rounded down.

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Adano10
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